Ref. Ares(2021)4296942 - 01/07/2021
Risk Preparedness
Electricity Coordination Group meeting 18 January 2018
Background: impact assessment accompanying the
proposed Risk Preparedness Regulation
Currently, Member States behave differently when it comes to preventing, preparing for
and managing crisis situations. The assessment of the national legal frameworks and
current practices across Europe has shown that:
1
• Member States and TSOs take different sets of measures to prevent and
Procedures and
manage crisis situations, and that such measures are triggered at different
measures
moments in time
• National roles and responsibilities differ
• Crisis plans, rules and practices remain solely national in focus, disregarding
what happens across borders
2 Electricity crisis
• There is no common definition of a crisis situation
scenarios
• There is no common approach to identifying and assessing risks
3
• There is not a systematic information-sharing and transparency during
Communication
electricity crisis situations among the Stakeholders (TSO, MSs, NRAs, RSC,
process
ENTSO-E, EC)
CEP – Risk Preparedness Regulation proposals
The proposed Regulation sets out:
• What Member States should do to prevent, prepare for and manage electricity crisis
1
situations
• How they should cooperate effectively across borders in a spirit of transparency and
2
solidarity, providing a framework for fair compensation for assistance
• Common methodology for identifying electricity crisis scenarios at a regional level (Art. 5)
3
and for short-term adequacy assessments* (Art. 8)
• It also provides a framework for a more systematic monitoring of security of supply issues
4
via the Electricity Coordination Group (ECG)
• It contributes to the revised Third Package by ensuring that, even in crisis situations,
5
priority is given to market-based measures and markets can work as long as possible**
(*) Namely seasonal outlooks (six months ahead) and week-ahead to intraday adequacy assessments
(**) REV2: non-market measures, may be taken only as a last resort, when all possibilities provided by the market have been exhausted
Electricity Risk Preparedness draft Regulation
ENTSO-E to propose methodology for identifying relevant crisis scenarios in a regional context, on the basis of the following risks:
• Rare and extreme natural hazards;
• Accidental hazards going beyond the N-1 security criterion;
• Consequential hazards including fuel shortages;
• Malicious attacks
ENTSO-E to propose methodology for assessing short- term adequacy (seasonal as well as week ahead) which shall cover:
• Uncertainty of inputs such as probability of transmission or generation unplanned outage, severe weather
conditions and variability of demand;
• Probability of crisis situation;
• Probability of simultaneous crisis situation.
4
Regional assessment
Identification of electricity
Short term adequacy
crisis
assessment
(Art 5, RPP)
(Art 8, RPP)
• Start with existing
• Probabilistic approach
experiences ( qualitative
• More severe scenarios
survey on Risk Preparedness
(multiple outages, P95
in July 2017)
weather conditions, gas
• Build consistent national/
supply and infrastructure
regional/ Pan-European
disruption…)
methodologies
• Consistency between
• Ensure sufficient
seasonal and week ahead
confidentiality for critical
assessments
information
5
Principle timeline towards methodology for identifying electricity crisis
Entry into force
ENTSO-E submits
ACER approves
Risk
ACER a
or amends the
ENTSO-E regular
Preparedness
methodology
proposal
update/
Regulation
for identifying
methodology
improve when
electricity crisis
needed or
scenarios*
upon ACER and
T0
ECG request
(01.01.2020)
T0 + 6 m
T0 + 8 m
Methodology for identifying the most relevant electricity crisis
What?
scenarios in relation to system adequacy, system security and fuel
security in a regional context
(*) Before submitting the proposed methodology, ENTSO-E shal conduct a consultation involving at least the industry and consumer
organisations, producers or their trade bodies, TSOs and DSOs, competent authorities, NRAs and other national authorities
6
Risk Preparedness (4 years rolling horizon down to Intraday)
Crisis Methodology
Risk Preparedness
Seasonal Outlook &
and Crisis Scenarios
Plans for each
Regional W-1 down to
(every 4 years and as
Scenario (every 4
before D-1 adequacy
needed)
years and as needed)
assessment
Critical grid situation leading to electricity crisis
Electricity system in
Critical Grid Situation &
Crisis leading to
communication process
Incident occurs
Emergency &
Restoration procedure
A Critical Grid Situation is a potential emergency state, c.f. SO GL article 18(3), identified in the operational planning phase. During a Critical Grid
Situation the available regular countermeasures are exhausted and therefore TSO(s) are required to take regionally coordinated extraordina7ry
countermeasures.
RPR definitions (Art. 2 – Council’s version 20.12.2017)
Security of
The ability of an electricity system to guarantee the supply of electricity to
electricity supply
customers with a clearly defined level of performance as defined by
Member States
A situation of significant electricity shortage or impossibility to supply
Electricity crisis
electricity to customers, either existent or imminent, as defined by the
Member States and described in the risk preparedness plans
Simultaneous
An electricity crisis affecting more than one Member State at the same
crisis
time
Crisis
A person, group of persons, a team composed of the relevant national
coordinator
electricity crisis managers or institution tasked with acting as a contact
point and coordinating the information flow during an electricity crisis
Non-market
Any supply or demand-side measure deviating from market rules or
measure
commercial agreements, with a view to mitigate an electricity crisis
A group of Member States whose transmission system operators are sharing
Region
the same Regional Security Coordinator, for the function of regional
operational security as created pursuant to Article 77 of the SO GL
Risk Preparedness Regulation - Provisional Timelines (*)
ACER Opinion on
Methodology - regional
Regional electricity crisis
n ENTSO-E task
electricity crisis
3 identification and
scenarios identification
submission to ECG
4 Publication of Risk
1 Methodology to identify
Preparedness Plans
regional electricity crisis
scenarios
National electricity
Assumed RPP
crisis identification
regulation EIF
2 Short term adequacy
methodology proposal
0
ACER opinion on
ENTSO-E task force
Methodology - Short
proposal on RPR
term adequacy
Q1 ‘19
Q2‘19
Q3’19
Q4’19
Q1’20
Q2’20
Q3’20
Q4’20
(*) Based on Council’s version from 20 December 2017