Thomas Van den Bergh

Dear European Border and Coast Guard Agency,

Under the right of access to documents in the EU treaties, as developed in Regulation 1049/2001, I am requesting documents which contain the following information:

All methodological assessments, user manuals, internal evaluations, and procurement documents relating to the quantitative migration forecasting tools and IT-supported predictive models developed or currently used by the Frontex Risk Analysis Unit (including, but not limited to, models utilizing machine learning or Big Data to predict irregular migration flows).

All quarterly and monthly migration forecasting reports and early-warning impact assessments generated by these predictive models that were shared with EU Member States or the European Commission between January 1, 2024, and the date of this request.

Any internal guidelines or reports concerning the integration of these predictive IT-models into operational decision-making at the EU external borders.

If my request is too broad, I kindly ask you to contact me so we can clarify and narrow down the scope. I look forward to receiving your response within the statutory 15 working days.

Yours faithfully,
Thomas Van den Bergh

European Border and Coast Guard Agency

New information regarding your application is available under this link
[1]https://pad.frontex.europa.eu/PadCases/P...
Token: 3O5NGCKWO6
Email: [FOI #17162 email]
Case Id: PAD-2026-00195

Please be informed that the link is valid until Tuesday, 18 July 2028

[2]Frontex
European Border and Coast Guard Agency
Plac Europejski 6, 00-844 Warsaw, Poland
Tel: +48 22 205 9500 · Fax: +48 22 205 9501
[3]www.frontex.europa.eu

DISCLAIMER: This e-mail message, including any attachments, cannot be
construed as automatically constituting any form of commitment by Frontex
, unless its contents clearly indicate otherwise. It is intended solely
for the use of the addressee(s). Any unauthorised disclosure, use or
dissemination, either in whole or in part, is prohibited. If you have
received this message in error, please notify the sender immediately via
e-mail and delete the e-mail from your system.

References

Visible links
1. https://pad.frontex.europa.eu/PadCases/P...
3. http://frontex.europa.eu/

European Border and Coast Guard Agency

New information regarding your application is available under this link
[1]https://pad.frontex.europa.eu/PadCases/P...
Token: 7LMN4KEF86
Email: [FOI #17162 email]
Case Id: PAD-2026-00195

Please be informed that the link is valid until Saturday, 29 July 2028

[2]Frontex
European Border and Coast Guard Agency
Plac Europejski 6, 00-844 Warsaw, Poland
Tel: +48 22 205 9500 · Fax: +48 22 205 9501
[3]www.frontex.europa.eu

DISCLAIMER: This e-mail message, including any attachments, cannot be
construed as automatically constituting any form of commitment by Frontex
, unless its contents clearly indicate otherwise. It is intended solely
for the use of the addressee(s). Any unauthorised disclosure, use or
dissemination, either in whole or in part, is prohibited. If you have
received this message in error, please notify the sender immediately via
e-mail and delete the e-mail from your system.

References

Visible links
1. https://pad.frontex.europa.eu/PadCases/P...
3. http://frontex.europa.eu/

European Border and Coast Guard Agency

New information regarding your application is available under this link
[1]https://pad.frontex.europa.eu/PadCases/P...
Token: HVQ5VZN8DW
Email: [FOI #17162 email]
Case Id: PAD-2026-00195

Please be informed that the link is valid until Tuesday, 01 August 2028

[2]Frontex
European Border and Coast Guard Agency
Plac Europejski 6, 00-844 Warsaw, Poland
Tel: +48 22 205 9500 · Fax: +48 22 205 9501
[3]www.frontex.europa.eu

DISCLAIMER: This e-mail message, including any attachments, cannot be
construed as automatically constituting any form of commitment by Frontex
, unless its contents clearly indicate otherwise. It is intended solely
for the use of the addressee(s). Any unauthorised disclosure, use or
dissemination, either in whole or in part, is prohibited. If you have
received this message in error, please notify the sender immediately via
e-mail and delete the e-mail from your system.

References

Visible links
1. https://pad.frontex.europa.eu/PadCases/P...
3. http://frontex.europa.eu/

European Border and Coast Guard Agency

New information regarding your application is available under this link
[1]https://pad.frontex.europa.eu/PadCases/P...
Token: FYYO32GVD9
Email: [FOI #17162 email]
Case Id: PAD-2026-00195

Please be informed that the link is valid until Thursday, 03 August 2028

[2]Frontex
European Border and Coast Guard Agency
Plac Europejski 6, 00-844 Warsaw, Poland
Tel: +48 22 205 9500 · Fax: +48 22 205 9501
[3]www.frontex.europa.eu

DISCLAIMER: This e-mail message, including any attachments, cannot be
construed as automatically constituting any form of commitment by Frontex
, unless its contents clearly indicate otherwise. It is intended solely
for the use of the addressee(s). Any unauthorised disclosure, use or
dissemination, either in whole or in part, is prohibited. If you have
received this message in error, please notify the sender immediately via
e-mail and delete the e-mail from your system.

References

Visible links
1. https://pad.frontex.europa.eu/PadCases/P...
3. http://frontex.europa.eu/

European Border and Coast Guard Agency

New information regarding your application is available under this link
[1]https://pad.frontex.europa.eu/PadCases/P...
Token: T56UNNA3FY
Email: [FOI #17162 email]
Case Id: PAD-2026-00195

Please be informed that the link is valid until Friday, 11 August 2028

[2]Frontex
European Border and Coast Guard Agency
Plac Europejski 6, 00-844 Warsaw, Poland
Tel: +48 22 205 9500 · Fax: +48 22 205 9501
[3]www.frontex.europa.eu

DISCLAIMER: This e-mail message, including any attachments, cannot be
construed as automatically constituting any form of commitment by Frontex
, unless its contents clearly indicate otherwise. It is intended solely
for the use of the addressee(s). Any unauthorised disclosure, use or
dissemination, either in whole or in part, is prohibited. If you have
received this message in error, please notify the sender immediately via
e-mail and delete the e-mail from your system.

References

Visible links
1. https://pad.frontex.europa.eu/PadCases/P...
3. http://frontex.europa.eu/

European Border and Coast Guard Agency

New information regarding your application is available under this link
[1]https://pad.frontex.europa.eu/PadCases/P...
Token: OACX04BVM8
Email: [FOI #17162 email]
Case Id: PAD-2026-00195

Please be informed that the link is valid until Tuesday, 29 August 2028

[2]Frontex
European Border and Coast Guard Agency
Plac Europejski 6, 00-844 Warsaw, Poland
Tel: +48 22 205 9500 · Fax: +48 22 205 9501
[3]www.frontex.europa.eu

DISCLAIMER: This e-mail message, including any attachments, cannot be
construed as automatically constituting any form of commitment by Frontex
, unless its contents clearly indicate otherwise. It is intended solely
for the use of the addressee(s). Any unauthorised disclosure, use or
dissemination, either in whole or in part, is prohibited. If you have
received this message in error, please notify the sender immediately via
e-mail and delete the e-mail from your system.

References

Visible links
1. https://pad.frontex.europa.eu/PadCases/P...
3. http://frontex.europa.eu/